Residents in the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region are expected to have a typical fall weekend, complete with moderate temperatures and consistent cloud cover, according to the Cleveland National Weather Service’s prediction. This weekend, high pressure is expected to move through the region, and on Sunday night, a cold front is expected to move in. The front is expected to return as a warm front on Tuesday of next week, just in time for low pressure to move from the Plains into the Great Lakes.
Today might not be the day for those hoping for clean skies since trapped moisture under a subsidence inversion is predicted to keep stratus clouds present, indicating a foggy weekend start. High pressure is expected to arrive, but moisture will prevent much cooling, and fog, which was anticipated for the early hours, is not expected to form. There won’t be much daily difference in the temperature because today’s highs will likely be close to or slightly above 50 degrees, which is a close replica of Friday’s conditions.
The prediction indicates that an upper-level trough will limit the likelihood of precipitation as we move into the next week, with possibilities between 20% and 50%. It looks like there may be some sunshine in the early part of the week before clouds move in on Monday, indicating higher temperatures with highs in the upper 50s or maybe 60 degrees in some places. The bad news is that a stronger low-pressure system is expected to develop in the middle of the week, which could bring rain, snow, and very windy conditions from Wednesday night through Thursday.
Although the high pressure offers some respite, it ultimately maintains the MVFR (Marginal Visual Flight Rules) conditions that are common at the majority of locations today, so for aviation interests, the story is one of stratus clouds. “Ceilings will have a chance to scatter out late tonight and allow for prevailing VFR,” according to Cleveland’s National Weather Service. The timeframe for clearing these requirements is a little hazy, though. Furthermore, as Saturday moves into the night, winds should moderate to lighter and more variable conditions overall. At ERI, north-northwest currents might reach 10 knots.
As high pressure takes a temporary hold over the area, marine conditions will mirror the land transition from rough to smoother sailing. Mariners take note: this quiet is not likely to stay long since southwest winds, which are moving westerly after a cold front passage on Sunday night, might ramp up to 15-20 knots by tonight. With a forecast warning seafarers of potentially high winds of 20 to 30 knots, the impending low-pressure system indicates a turn for the worse by midweek.
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