As the northeast Ohioans brace themselves for the coming weather changes, the National Weather Service (NWS) in Cleveland has announced a forecast that will indeed have locals unpacking their winter wear. According to the
National Weather Service
, an Area Forecast Discussion released by NWS, a strong cold front will make its presence felt across the region this evening, bringing with it a significant drop in temperatures and the first notable incredible wave of Fall.
In their analysis, the
National Weather Service
pointed out that, with the cold front’s arrival late in the evening, wind gusts could reach up to 45 mph, leading to rapidly falling temperatures. Following these gusts, lake-effect rain bands, primarily out over Lake Erie and into Western New York, will increase rainfall chances for Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania later today. Forecasters have predicted a high likelihood of 850 mb temperatures “falling between -3 and -4 degrees C behind the front tonight into Tuesday morning,” which should lead to scattered lake-effect rain showers.
Lake-effect showers will also contribute to the chill lingering through Tuesday, with temperatures struggling to reach 50 degrees. While the rain showers are expected to subside by morning, lake-effect clouds may persist well into the early afternoon. Moving into midweek, high pressure is set to build again across the region, with temperatures climbing back to near-normal as an upper-level ridge takes hold on Wednesday.
The NWS further informs us that conditions will rapidly change as a low-pressure system brings another round of wet weather Wednesday night into Thursday. “Confidence is increasing that most of the area will receive rain as the upper-level trough becomes negatively tilted overhead and raised pops into the 70-80 percent range,”
National Weather Service forecasters
note, indicating a likely soak for residents. Rainfall amounts could reach up to half an inch in some locales as the front moves through. Another slight temperature hike is expected Thursday despite showers, which are anticipated to linger due to the unsettled weather.
For marine interests, Lake Erie will be particularly rough today, with southwest winds expected to increase to 30 knots as a trough edges closer. The passage of the cold front will also lead to a brief concern when water levels on the lake’s western basin may be near critical levels for navigation. Nevertheless, a gradual improvement in marine conditions is forecasted post-front once winds ease by Tuesday morning.
Looking ahead to the weekend, residents can anticipate a return to normalcy weather-wise, with upper-level ridging bringing back more stable conditions and a gradual warming trend. By Sunday, there could be chances of showers, but the forecast remains dry mainly for most of the weekend. Residents are encouraged to stay updated with the latest estimates as these complex systems evolve.
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