Good news for Honolulu residents who are itching for some sunshine. A drying trend is approaching as the rain is moving out. With the exception of showers over windward Big Island, the Honolulu National Weather Service says that we may anticipate drier weather beginning today and continuing for the next few days. Even though the trade winds have a reputation for being persistent, by Friday they will be resting and turning light and unpredictable.
By Sunday, a cold front is predicted to arrive, which might bring a few showers to our area, but accumulations should be limited. High pressure is expected to develop north of the islands beginning early next week, pushing winds to turn back toward the northeast from the northwest. A largely dry stretch is anticipated during the first half of the following week as a result of this atmospheric shift stabilizing the weather.
Aviation conditions appear to be excellent for those taking to the skies. With only brief periods of questionable visual flight rules circumstances, any rain showers and lower cloud ceilings should be limited to windward and mountainous locations due to the previously noted steady decline in trade winds. The NWS said, “Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail.”
There will also be a sea change for mariners. Gentle breezes are the result of the weakening of surface high pressure that has been regulating winds like a regional air traffic controller. Although surfers will have an incentive to ride the east shore waves due to the current trade wind swell, those waves should significantly calm down by the weekend. As the front moves through, light breezes will shift from the northwest to the northeast by the beginning of next week.
Even though the weather will be pleasant, households should be aware of the possibility of fire. As the dry air settles in, relative humidity may fall near the 45% threshold that is crucial for fire risk, according to the Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI), which shows high values throughout the state. According to the National Weather Service, “fortunately, however, weak trade winds will mitigate fire weather concerns through the rest of this week,”
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