As the race for the presidency narrows down to a clutch of battleground states, Arizona emerges again as a crucial stepping stone in the electoral college, with Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump locked in a close contest for its 11 electoral votes. Aided by the specter of history—President Joe Biden having been only the second Democrat to swing the state blue in almost 70 years—both campaigns have fiercely vied for Arizonian support, as highlighted by FOX 10 Phoenix.
The race has tightened nationally, and swing state dynamics reflect this tension, with both candidates within striking distance of the required 270 electoral votes; according to ABC News, Harris has an edge in Wisconsin and Michigan, while Trump nudges ahead in Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona, though these leads are slim confined within the margin of error for major polls; this volatility suggests that the high stakes of this political gamble are far from calling with certainty at this stage.
If the polling data mirrors the eventual outcomes, Trump could garner 287 electoral votes by holding his ground in the above-mentioned states, yet this is not to discount the potential paths for Harris, who could secure a narrow victory of exactly 270 votes if the contested states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania swing her way, alongside a single electoral vote from Nebraska. Early voting trends show a majority of female voters and a slight Democratic lead in registrations, but these figures alone are not prophetic of the final vote, as the dynamics of election day can pivot away from preliminary ballots, as reported by ABC News.
Over 65 million Americans have already voted, making up 40% of the total voter turnout in 2020. This shows that many people are engaged and ready to have their say in the election. While early voting trends show that women are voting in large numbers and Democrats have a slight edge over Republicans in early registrations, this doesn’t guarantee the final outcome. The results can still change on Election Day when all votes are counted.
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