According to the National Weather Service Honolulu, residents may anticipate light and variable winds today and tomorrow as a dry and stable air mass dominates the area, decreasing the likelihood of rainfall. The weather forecast predicts dew points to remain in the lower to mid-60s, allowing for cooler nighttime temperatures below normal over the weekend, so islanders should enjoy pleasant afternoons.
While satellite imagery has been showing a high cloud flow that is also crossing the state but is expected to thin out today, keeping skies relatively clear, especially as high clouds associated with the jet streak aloft will begin to dissipate across the western half today and the eastern end by Monday, the National Weather Service Honolulu predicts that a weak shallow front will cause modest changes by moving across the western end of the island chain tomorrow night into Monday.
As for aviation, light winds will sustain sea and land breezes until mid-week when light to moderate trades are expected to return. In the meantime, VFR conditions should continue, though some light SHRA and isolated brief MVFR conditions are possible in the evenings, especially along windward and mauka locations. The upcoming weather conditions are not expected to cause significant disruptions, with minimal impacts and only a slight uptick in shower activity predicted prior to the frontal passage.
The excitement for surfers is building as north and west facing beaches can expect increasing swell, approaching High Surf Advisory criteria tomorrow before subsiding early next week. Additionally, an elevated surf on east-facing shores will be noticed as more northerly swells peak today into tomorrow, wrapping into eastern exposures. Weak high pressure will maintain gentle sea conditions for the majority of the weekend, but a weak front into the far western waters by tomorrow evening is anticipated before dissipating by Tuesday afternoon.
Despite the high KBDI readings throughout the state and the possibility of relative humidity readings falling below the crucial 45% mark in the afternoon, the good news is that lighter winds are predicted to temporarily alleviate fire weather concerns, so no watches, warnings, or advisories have been issued as of yet.
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